PRIORITY 03 · SEEDED SIMULATION

You call the Sundays. The field moves.

2026 NFL Season. Committee order is a clearly labeled approximation, never a claim about the real committee.

Dataset · as of Oct 3

Initial quick run · precision target not guaranteed

1San FranciscoNFC

Playoff 65%Bye 20%Title 5%

2ClevelandAFC

Playoff 64%Bye 22%Title 5%

3BuffaloAFC

Playoff 64%Bye 19%Title 5%

4MinnesotaNFC

Playoff 63%Bye 20%Title 5%

5Kansas CityAFC

Playoff 63%Bye 21%Title 6%

6Las VegasAFC

Playoff 63%Bye 21%Title 5%

7PhiladelphiaNFC

Playoff 51%Bye 8%Title 4%

8BaltimoreAFC

Playoff 51%Bye 7%Title 3%

9CincinnatiAFC

Playoff 50%Bye 7%Title 3%

10DetroitNFC

Playoff 50%Bye 7%Title 4%

11New YorkNFC

Playoff 50%Bye 7%Title 3%

12DenverAFC

Playoff 50%Bye 8%Title 4%

BRACKET SNAPSHOT

Seed 5KC

Seed 6LV

Seed 7PHI

Seed 8BAL

Seed 9CIN

Seed 10DET

Seed 11NYG

Seed 12DEN

Top four seeds receive byes under the 2026 twelve-team format. Full probabilities appear in the table above.

Projected field